Bitcoin and gold are currently showing a significant divergence that attracts investors’ attention. According to a report by BeInCrypto, gold is trading at 4,322 dollars per ounce, just below the October record of 4,381 dollars. This rise reflects a broader trend of seeking safety amid uncertainty surrounding monetary policy and inflation. Investors expect further interest rate cuts as early as January, which increases gold’s attractiveness.

Negative divergence of gold and Bitcoin

Bitcoin oscillates around 86,000 dollars after a sharp sell-off that triggered an hourly liquidation of 200 million dollars in positions. Cryptocurrency thus remains approximately 30% below its October peak of 126,210 dollars, according to TradingView data. While gold acts as a safe haven, Bitcoin often behaves as a risk asset facing capital outflows during uncertain times.

Bitcoin recorded its largest correction since 2022, dropping 36% from its all-time high at the lowest point. In contrast, gold completely recovered from the October correction and is experiencing the most dynamic growth in history.

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Analytical signals and macroeconomic context

Technical analysis shows that the BTC/gold ratio is testing long-term upward support for the fourth time since 2019. The Z-score indicator is in the oversold range, which historically signaled strong rallies. The Z-score is a statistical indicator measuring how far an asset’s value deviates from its average over a given period.

Analyst Michaël van de Poppe noted that the RSI of Bitcoin against gold fell below 30 points for only the fourth time in history, often preceding cryptocurrency recoveries.

For the fourth time in the history of #Bitcoin, the RSI against Gold is hitting <30.

The previous three times this occurred:
– Bottom in 2015 bear market.
– Bottom in 2018 bear market.
– Bottom in 2022 bear market.

It’s not a guarantee, but it can clearly say that one of the… pic.twitter.com/uZHSxMzyaR

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) December 15, 2025

The market impact is clear. Gold strengthens due to a declining dollar and stable demand from central banks. Meanwhile, gold ETFs continue to see steady growth. Bitcoin, however, faces volatility and liquidations, but historical technical signals indicate a potential rotation of capital back into cryptocurrencies if macroeconomic conditions stabilize.

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