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A matter of time: Ethereum will overtake Bitcoin within 2 cycles

BY Marek Jendral
Ethereum is reportedly going to beat Bitcoin

Ethereum is rapidly approaching Bitcoin’s market capitalization, according to a BeInCrypto report, driven mainly by corporate treasury accumulation and ETFs. Trend Research states that institutions already hold approximately $20 billion in ETH, representing 3.39% of the total supply.

Ethereum and growing institutional adoption

Unlike Bitcoin, where the supply is static, Ethereum allows yield generation through staking and liquidity fees, making it an attractive cash flow asset. ETF funds such as BlackRock ETHA are also a key factor, recording 14 consecutive weeks of net inflows totaling approximately $19.2 billion, according to Farside.

ETH ETF flows in recent days
ETH ETF flows in recent days. Source: farside.co.uk

According to Trend Research, daily ETH unlocking after the Pectra 2025 update is limited to 57,600 ETH, creating a predictable supply. Institutional purchases and staking exceed this limit, generating constant demand. Treasury firms like BitMine and SharpLink are significantly expanding their holdings, with BitMine targeting up to 5% of the total supply. This effect is similar to MicroStrategy with Bitcoin, where large players’ purchases change market dynamics.

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ETH and its technological infrastructure

Ethereum offers yields of 1.5–2.15% annually from staking and up to 5% from DeFi, allowing institutions to justify higher asset valuation through discounted cash flow models. Capital rotation from BTC to ETH is occurring, with the share of ETH futures trading rising from 35% in May to 68% in August.

On a technical level, ETH faces volatility and a potential short-term test of support around $4,355, according to TradingView and Matrixport. Institutional purchases, ETF inflows, and staking support an upward trend. ETH is therefore emerging not only as digital gold but also as a financial infrastructure for stablecoins, tokenized assets, and DeFi.

Optimistic scenarios suggest that Ethereum’s market capitalization could exceed $3 trillion, potentially surpassing Bitcoin and becoming the dominant digital asset in future cycles.

It is very likely that while Ethereum reaches a market capitalization of $3 trillion, Bitcoin would have already surpassed it, given its leading position and wider adoption among investors.

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Marek Jendral

Written by

Marek Jendral