16 June 2025
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Bitcoin is currently trading in the range between $60,000 to $105,000, reminiscent of the period from late 2021. At that time, the price first shot to an all-time high and then collapsed by more than 77%. Renowned analyst Peter Brandt, whose analysis was published by Coingape magazine, warns that the current market structure strikingly resembles the previous one.
⚠️ CRASH WARNING
77% Drop Potential
$105k → $23.6k
Bitcoin and the Threat of Repeating the 2021 Crash
2021 Crash
Peak: $69,000
Bottom: $15,500
-77.5%
2025 Potential
Current: ~$105,000
Target: $23,600
-77.5%
Even though fundamentals like approved ETFs, low exchange supply, and record institutional interest look favorable, Brandt argues that fundamentals are always strongest at peaks and weakest at bottoms. In 2021, Bitcoin fell from $69,000 to $15,500, according to TradingView data. Today, a similar drop from the $105,000 level could mean a decline to approximately $23,600.
“Fundamentals are always strongest at market tops and weakest at market bottoms. The current price structure is dangerously similar to what we saw before the 2021 collapse.”
Past Doesn’t Guarantee Future
While Bitcoin’s past price movements provide valuable lessons, they are not a guarantee of future development. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and influenced by many factors. What worked in the past may not repeat. Investors should proceed with caution.
Not Every Scenario is Negative
Despite concerns about a crash, positive technical signals also exist. Bitcoin recently recorded a so-called golden cross, the intersection of 50 and 200-day averages, which in the past often foreshadowed price increases of tens to hundreds of percent.
📈 Institutional Adoption Surge
At the same time, more than 60 companies announced during one week that they added Bitcoin to their portfolio.
60+ Companies Added Bitcoin in One Week
This growing institutional demand, also spurred by positive statements from American President Trump, is proof of strong fundamentals. However, despite positive sentiment and indicators, a declining scenario cannot be ruled out.
⚖️ What Do Conflicting Predictions Mean?
Conflicting analyses and predictions mean that experts or analysts have different opinions on future price development or trends. While some assume growth, others expect decline. These differences stem from various approaches, indicators, and data interpretations. For investors, this means uncertainty and the need for personal judgment.
The current price structure too closely resembles the development from 2021, when numerous false breakouts led to panic selling.
🥊 The Battle Continues
The battle between positive fundamentals and technical warnings continues. Bitcoin faces a fundamental question:
Is this another phase of growth, or is another major crash approaching?
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